12/8/2022 0 Comments Virginia governor race ad wars![]() ![]() Most of those swing counties have one of two factors in common: Some have a sizable African-American population, like Prince William, Henrico, Sussex and Northampton. ![]() Six other jurisdictions have picked the winner in eight of those nine close elections: Albemarle County and Harrisonburg City, both near Charlottesville Henrico County, in the Richmond suburbs Northern Virginia’s Loudoun County Northampton County, on the eastern shore and Sussex County, south of Richmond. In the last nine closely-fought statewide elections - the presidential contests in 2004, 2008, 20 Senate contests in 20 and gubernatorial races in 2005, 20 - only two jurisdictions have picked the winning candidate every time: Prince William County, just south and west of the Washington Beltway, and tiny Radford City, on the I-81 corridor west of Roanoke. Observers in both parties are zeroing in on a handful of key precincts in bellwether counties and cities, crafting base appeals aimed only at turning out their core voters. “This comes down to who shows up their base, which is why at the end of the campaign I’m having to choose between an MS-13 member and a Nazi.” “We’re two one-party states,” said Tom Davis, a former Republican congressman from Northern Virginia. Gillespie has accused Northam of voting to allow sanctuary cities - though no Virginia jurisdiction counts itself as a sanctuary for undocumented immigrants - and therefore exacerbating a rising crime wave fueled by the MS-13 gang.īoth pitches are aimed squarely at firing up the two sides’ respective bases. Northam’s campaign has spent the final weeks before Election Day tying Gillespie to President Trump, and Democratic outside groups have portrayed Gillespie supporters as white supremacists sympathetic to the white nationalists who rallied in Charlottesville. Strategists in both camps said they expect a low-turnout affair, in which about 41 percent of the state’s electorate casts a ballot, putting a premium on base mobilization over voter persuasion just hours before the polls open - and turning a once-staid contest into a brutally personal slugfest. ![]() Ralph Northam (D) and former Republican National Committee chairman Ed Gillespie (R) has evolved into a furious effort to turn out voters loyal to each candidate’s own political party, in a state where close elections come down to only a small handful of counties. The pitched battle for Virginia’s governorship between Lt. ![]()
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